Archive for October, 2007

Why I’m Rooting for the Kid [Netly News]

Wednesday, October 31st, 2007

Zuck

I’m rooting for the kid.

It’s not an easy decision—it never makes sense to be on the other side of Google (GOOG), and I am all for open standards. But on this one, I can’t help myself, I am rooting for the kid.

Imagine starting a business that, within 18 months, goes from nothing to 50 million members. You do everything right. You take a bit of seed capital and you make all the correct decisions, you play a scratch game, you innovate, you make a big bet, and bam! You create a product that’s so compelling, you make a market where none existed.

And now imagine that a far bigger company—no, the fifth biggest company in the U.S.!—comes along and simply copies your idea. It bigfoots you and says, you know that beautiful thing you figured out? Well we’re going to do it, too. And good luck competing with us because we’re going to take your great idea, and give it away for free to our market, which happens to be twice as large as yours before we even get started here.

In so doing, it (seemingly) neutralizes you, robs you of all the value you created.

How can you NOT root for the kid on this one?

A lot of this reminds me of the Browser Wars, when Microsoft took a similar tactic with Netscape. (“You know that cool browser you created? You know how your business model hinges on selling it to people? and want to sell? Well we’re copying it and giving it away for free.”) Of course, Microsoft also made the mistake of tying it to its operating system, which cost it billions. No one can scream “monopoly!” here.

So I’m rooting for the kid. I don’t care that, in this case, ironically, he has Microsoft (MSFT) in his corner. He is still the underdog.

I hope Dave Winer is right and that tech companies who promulgate standards to undermine other tech companies usually fail. I don’t believe him in this case. The “standard” that Google is foisting on its partners is open. It’s HTML and Javascript. Facebook has the proprietary code here.

But still I am rooting for the kid. He has momentum on his side—50 million people, and so far, Google’s ploy isn’t a good reason for any of them to leave. And that means the developers will stay. I am hoping that come next Tuesday, when he lets Madison Avenue see what Facebook can do with social ads, he’ll change the game yet again. God this is fun. That’s why I’m rooting for the kid.

Berkeley to finance solar arrays for homeowners [Green Wombat]

Wednesday, October 31st, 2007

From my perch in the Berkeley Hills I look down on a sea of roofs stretching toward San Francisco Bay. A glint here and there in the California sunshine telegraphs that someone has installed a solar array. But even in this most ecologically self-conscious of cities, homeowners face a familiar conundrum: cutting the utility cord and your home’s greenhouse gas emissions means coughing up some serious cash. A residential rooftop solar system can cost anywhere between $15,000 and $30,000, and it can be up to a decade before the array pays for itself in electricity savings. Rebates through the $3.3 billion California Solar Initiative help and the program has been a great success so far, but its goal of a million solar roofs by 2017 will cover just a fraction of the state’s households.

Now the city of Berkeley has devised an innovative plan that could dramatically increase that number and turn the nascent solar industry into a mass market if replicated. Under a solar initiative to be considered by the city council on Tuesday, Nov. 6, Berkeley would finance the installation of solar arrays and solar hot water systems (more on that later) for any homeowner or commercial building owner. You choose an installer from a city-approved list and retain ownership of the solar system, paying back the cost over 20 years through an assessment on your annual property tax bill. “Over next decade we could have solar on 25 percent of the buildings in Berkeley,” Cisco DeVries, chief of staff for Berkeley Mayor Tom Bates, told Green Wombat. The federal government is supporting the Berkeley initiative — the first of its kind — and California’s largest utility, PG&E, backs the plan.

Here’s the game-changing aspect of Berkeley’s proposed Sustainable Energy Financing District: When you sell your home the solar array and the tax surcharge stays with the property, passing on to the new owner. In other words, there’s little risk that you’ll lose money by going solar. And given that a solar array generally boosts your property value — in California, at least — you’ll likely to come out ahead. (When Green Wombat’s Fortune magazine colleague, Michael Copeland, installed solar on his new Berkeley home, the appraised value immediately jumped nearly $13,000.) What’s more, as a property tax the solar assessment is a deductible on your federal income tax return. Banks now offer solar home equity loans that similarly allow property owners to install an array with no upfront costs. But the catch is that when you sell your home, you pay back the loan from the proceeds. With the city financing your solar array, you’re just on the hook for the annual property tax surcharge for the time you own your home.

Given that the city will likely put up a bond to borrow millions of dollars, DeVries expects to obtain a lower interest rate than what would available through a solar home equity loan. “Because this is an assessment on your property bill, effectively a lien, it’s a very secure position for financing,” he says. “In event of foreclosure, it’s paid before the mortgage.”

The program also will finance the installation of solar hot water systems, which for Berkeley and other temperate zone cities could be a real environmental and economic boon. Solar thermal systems that tap the sun’s rays to heat water are widely used in countries like China but have not caught on in the United States. But they make perfect sense for cities such as Berkeley, where moderate weather means that much of residents’ utility bills is not for electricity used to power energy-sucking air conditioners but for natural gas that heats water for bathing, cooking and running dishwashers. “You would be able to displace natural gas and get a much more direct environmental benefit,” says David Rubin, PG&E’s (PCG) director of service analysis, who helps run the utility’s solar rebate program. Solar hot water also will help Berkeley meet a voter-approved mandate to fight global warming by reducing the city’s greenhouse gas emissions 80 percent by 2050.

Just how much extra homeowners will pay on their property tax bill depends on the size of the solar array they install and the terms of the financing the city is able to arrange. But DeVries says some preliminary calculations show that a $15,000 solar array might add $1,300 to a homeowners’ annual tax bill. (It should be noted that Berkeley residents are accustomed to such surcharges. Green Wombat just got his 2007-2008 property tax bill and counts 18 local surcharges, ranging from fees for mosquito control to school classroom-size reduction.) While it will hit them in the pocketbook at tax time, Berkeley homeowners, if they install the appropriate size solar array, can count on free electricity year-round. California is a so-called net-metering state, which means that electricity produced from a residential solar panels is fed into the power grid; in return homeowners receive a credit that can zero out the cost of the energy they consume.

No surprise that the solar industry is enthusiastic about the Berkeley’s initiative, which has the potential to provide a big boost to their business if other cities copy the program. Among those that stand to benefit are installers and solar cell makers like SunPower (SPWR) and Sharp. “It just seems like it’s a great model for other cities to look at and hopefully to emulate because it really advances homeowners’ access to solar,” says Ron Kenedi, vice president of Sharp Solar, one of the world’s biggest solar panel makers. Sharp supplies arrays to many of the installers Berkeley is likely to include in its program. “We found that solar powered homes are easier to sell and move faster on the market. And they gain value over time.”

Says Barry Cinnamon, CEO of solar installer Akeena Solar: “It’s going to raise awareness of solar. I think there will be a big spill-over effect, especially if starts to work. If they can aggregate the financing, it definitely helps lower the cost of solar.”

DeVries has been meeting with solar installers and already has had discussions with PG&E about what support the utility can provide to the program. For PG&E, a big spike in residential and commercial solar could potentially ease the cost and environmental impact of peak power demand. “Having the city finance solar through a property tax assessment is a good idea,” says Rubin. “Additional amounts of solar do help reduce demand.”

Lest you think this is just another wacky notion from Berkeley’s left-winging politicos and social engineers, consider that two Bush administration agencies have lined up in support of the initiative. The U.S. Department of Energy has given Berkeley a $200,000 grant that can be used in part to promote the Sustainable Energy Financing District while the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency is about to sign off on another $160,000 to get the program off the ground and create a guide for other cities.

If approved by the city council next week, DeVries expects to begin signing up homeowners and business owners by June 2008. “I just got an e-mail from a large-scale commercial property owner interested in the program,” he says.

The most promising green tech startups [Green Wombat]

Tuesday, October 30th, 2007

Cacleantech_logo If you want to know what enviro startups Silicon Valley movers and shakers think could be the next big green thing, the California Clean Tech Open is a good leading indicator. Last night in San Francisco the Open named six winners in its second annual startup competition. Each winner receives a $100,000 "startup in a box" package that includes $50,000 in cash from such sponsors as Google (GOOG), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Lexus (TM) and California's Big Three utilities - PG&E (PCG), Southern California Edison (EIX) and San Diego Gas & Electric (SRE). The winners also get $50k worth of legal, marketing, accounting and public relations services from such heavyweights as Silicon Valley law firm Wilson Sonsini Goodrich & Rosati. The opportunity to mingle with the entrepreneurs, venture capitalists and potential clients who judge the contest probably represents the biggest win of all for these startups.  Now the winners:

AMD Smart Power Award
The Lucid Design Group of Oakland, Calif., takes a Web 2.0 approach to environmental monitoring, providing real-time feedback on a building or home's energy and water usage through an online dashboard. The idea: people will be motivated to cut their electricity and water consumption when they see how much and when power is being used by various appliances.

ENVIRON Foundation and Grundfos Air, Water and Waste Award
Overland Park, Kan., startup Microvi Biotech is using biotechnology to treat waste water, sewage and control pollution.

Google Green Building Award

BuildFast of San Carlos, Calif., makes environmentally sensitive prefab housing kits to erect buildings in disaster zones or in low-income areas.

Lexus Transportation Award
Los Angeles' Syncromatics is developing technology that uses GPS and mobile phone networks for real-time online tracking of buses to improve efficiency and cut fuel costs.

PG&E, SCE and SDG&E Renewables Award
Rohnert Park, Calif.-based 1-Solar is designing lower-cost and longer-life power inverters for solar arrays and other renewable energy systems. Inverters convert the direct current produced by such systems into the alternating current used in households and businesses.

PG&E, SCE and SDG&E Energy Efficiency Award
Nila of Sherman Oaks, Calif., makes LED lighting systems for Hollywood that it says consume 50 to 75 percent less electricity than traditional lighting used in the entertainment industry.


Solar startup GreenVolts scores $10 million [Green Wombat]

Tuesday, October 30th, 2007

Greenvolts_image Last year's California Clean Tech Open winner GreenVolts is a poster child for how a startup can capitalize on the startup contest to bootstrap itself into some major deals. Working from a San Francisco office provided by utility PG&E (PCG) as part of its contest winnings, GreenVolts earlier this year scored a contract with its benefactor to build a 2-megawatt solar power station using the solar startup's high concentration photovoltaic technology. The company's microdishes track the sun and focus its rays on small but highly efficient solar cells. Rotating platforms each hold 176 of the dishes.

So it was appropriate that GreenVolts CEO Bob Cart announced last night at this year's Clean Tech Open ceremony that the company had raised $10 million in its latest round of funding. The company also said that its demonstration solar power plant for Spokane, Wash.-based utility Avista (AVA) had begun generating electricity. Avista had made an earlier investment in GreenVolts and participated in the latest round, which was led by Greenlight Energy Resources.

Links for 2007-10-29 [del.icio.us] [The Next Net]

Monday, October 29th, 2007

PG&E to Generate a Gigawatt of Wind Power [Green Wombat]

Monday, October 29th, 2007

Shiloh_ii California utility PG&E this morning is set to announce its latest wind power deal, an agreement to buy 150 megawatts from a new Solano County project that now gives the utility more than 1 gigawatt of wind energy under contract. The wind farm north of San Francisco will go online in December 2008 and will be operated by enXco, a Southern California green power company owned by French energy firm EDF Energies Nouvelle. EnXco also runs wind farms in the Midwest and has a deal to supply 205.5 megawatts of wind power to San Diego Gas & Electric (SRE). PG&E (PCG) has lagged its Southern California counterparts in tapping wind energy. For instance, late last year in a single deal with an Australian wind developer, Southern California Edison (EIX) contracted to buy 1.5 gigawatts - 10 times the size of the enXco agreement. One gigawatt can power some 750,000 homes. Such projects in SoCal's windy Tehachapi region face at least one big hurdle: Without multibillion-dollar transmission line upgrades, there's no way to get all that greenhouse gas-free power from the wind farms to Southern California cities. Even with all the wind energy under development in California, the state ranks a distant second to Texas, where wind wildcatters are thinking big. Billionaire oilman T. Boone Pickens, for one, plans to prospect the skies by building a 4-gigawatt wind farm on 200,000 acres.

Silicon Valley’s $200 million electric car startup [Green Wombat]

Monday, October 29th, 2007

Former SAP (SAP) top exec Shai Agassi unveiled his new venture last night in the pixels of the online editions of the Wall Street Journal and The New York Times: A startup backed by $200 million that will lease removable batteries for electric cars. The company will also build a network of battery-charging stations and battery replacement centers. It appears that Agassi's company, called Project Better Place, won't spend its considerable cash hoard on developing new battery technology or electric cars themselves. Instead, according to the articles' somewhat differing takes, Agassi seeks to extend the range of existing electric car batteries by making it easy to charge up or swap power packs on the road. The company would make money by renting batteries to car owners and charging them to charge up.

"The business model for the electric cars will be similar to that used by mobile phone operators," the company says on its site. "In the same way that wireless operators deploy a network of cell towers to provide an area of mobile phone coverage, Project Better Place will establish a network of charging spots and battery exchange stations to provide ubiquitous access to electricity to power electric vehicles.  The company will partner with car makers and source batteries so that consumers who subscribe to the network can get subsidized vehicles which are cheaper to buy and operate than today’s fuel-based cars. Consumers will still own their cars and will have multiple car models to choose from."

Among the big names backing Agassi are Israeli holding company Israel Corp, Morgan Stanley (MS), Tesla investor VantagePoint Venture Partners, former World Bank chief James Wolfensohn and Edgar Bronfman, Sr.

Battery leasing is an idea that's gaining currency among electric car companies. Batteries typically account for half the cost of an electric vehicle, requiring that buyers essentially prepay upfront for years of fuel cost. Norwegian EV maker Think, for instance, plans to sell its City urban runabout and charge a monthly "mobility" fee that will include the battery lease as well as other features like insurance. General Motors (GM) is exploring a similar idea for its Volt electric hybrid under development. Utilities like PG&E (PCG), meanwhile, have expressed interest in buying tens of thousands of used EV batteries to store renewable energy produced by solar arrays and wind farms for use when power demand peaks. Such a secondary market for electric car batteries potentially makes leasing schemes viable.

Agassi will face competition from Capricorn Investment Group, a Palo Alto private equity firm that also intends to launch a battery-leasing company to jump-start the EV market. Capricorn has invested in both Think and Tesla Motors, the Silicon Valley startup that is building the Roadster supercar.

The risk Agassi faces is that companies like Tesla, which itself has raised more than $100 million, will develop long-range electric car batteries that make a network of charging stations and battery replacement stations superfluous. Tesla, for example, says its latest tests show the Roadster will go 245 miles between charges in combined city and highway driving. Still, it'll be some time before an electric car goes 400 miles on a charge and Agassi has $200 million to play with. A few months ago, Tesla co-founder Martin Eberhard spoke to Green Wombat about the potential for EV battery leasing. "I would love to see that work," he said. "It may work for us down the road. I think it’s a great idea."

Green Tech Investment Jumps to $1.7 billion [Green Wombat]

Thursday, October 25th, 2007

Cvn_logocleantechnetwork Venture capitalists poured $1.74 billion into North American and European green technology startups in the third quarter, according to a survey by the Cleantech Network, a coalition of investors and companies. That brings total investment to $3.64 billion so far this year, a 13 percent rise over the same period in 2006. Most of the action was in North America, where green tech investment in the third quarter rose to $1.3 billion, a 36 percent jump over 2006. VCs are placing their biggest bets on green energy, which soaked up about 92 percent of the cash. North American investments in solar rose 16 percent to $410 million in the third quarter from the previous quarter while biofuels attracted $215 million.

Facebook for the Blackberry [Netly News]

Wednesday, October 24th, 2007

Fb Printed with permission of Keith Bilous

Finally! The best gadget I've purchased this year in my Blackberry 8830. I love it. SO much better than the Treo, that dumbest of smartphones, which I lugged around for the last three years.

At today's CTIA, Facebook unveiled Facebook Mobile—and a new download for the Blackberry which is supposed to make it easier to access the social network.

That's the good news. The bad news: Though I was able to download the application (point your BB browser here) and install it without problems, when I try to connect I get "There was an error contacting Facebook." Possibly too many people are attempting to login at once? Or what? Anyone else having trouble (or have you gotten in?)

Update: I'm still locked out, but some readers are getting in: See comments.

Update at 7:45 p.m. PST: Still no luck. Other readers complaining of problems.

Update at 8:45 p.m. PST: Looks like a ton of people are having trouble. See Facebook's Blackberry page here.

Final update: I got the RIM guys to debug the problem. Turns out that the people affected are corporate users whose IT departments limited browser access. Here's the fix.

Prime Time for Amazon [Netly News]

Tuesday, October 23rd, 2007

Poy Don't these people know the economy is in the tank? Amazon (AMZN) today reported one of its best quarters ever, with revenue growing 41% and profit quadrupling from a year ago.

Nonetheless, Wall Street punished the online retail giant after hours, partly because Amazon reported diminished gross margins. (One good reason to think that was a blip, not a trend:  Amazon sold 2.5 million copies of Harry Potter VII, which had ghastly, wafer-thin margins. What the boy wizard giveth, he take awayeth.) The news out of Seattle was pretty good today, and Amazon is predicting, in the words of CFO Tom Szkutak, "our best holiday season ever."  With consumers in a dither about the housing meltdown in general and Chinese toys in particular, how is this possible?

Company executives yesterday say that Amazon is firing on all cylinders. Szkutak said that Amazon has more stock in stock, and lower prices, than at any time in the company's history. He also added one more factor, which ought to confound the critics: Amazon Prime, the company's membership program that, for a $79 annually, guarantees free two-day delivery on anything you buy. The critics had said it would never work. But it is working—Szkutak said that enrollment doubled year over year. It was recently rolled out in Japan where the uptake is just as healthy. And it will only become more efficient.

As founder and CEO Jeff Bezos claimed during an analysts' call today, for Prime, "the opportunity on the cost side is a very large one when we have sufficient scale." The bigger it gets, the cheaper it is. Huh? Bezos: "The opportunity is to modify the fulfillment center network so its optimized for faster delivery. As you can imagine, a fulfillment center optimized for two-day delivery looks very different from one optimized for standard delivery."

I can't imagine that, exactly (OK, I can: A giant warehouse filled with speed freaks zipping around on rocketpacks, perhaps.)  But I believe him.

The other day, my wife was fiddling around with a new bit of software that scrapes all our credit card data and shows us the appalling ways we spend money. Our number 3 expense? Amazon. Thanks to Prime, we made 15 purchases over the past several months. Why not? Shipping is free. For the record, number one was groceries, and number 2 was the vet. My dog, Otto, has a slipped disk. No, I didn't believe it either. If only Amazon provided medical care for over-weight dogs.

Quick bit: Asked whether Amazon's new, MP3 store, which sells music at 99-cents  a download, was eating into sales of CDs, Bezos said: "We haven’t seen any evidence of that. (But) I think it’s way too early to know if you would see evidence of that."